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Σάικς-Πικό-ντόρτια, εξάρες και τα δεινά της Μέσης Ανατολής

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Σάικς-Πικό-ντόρτια, εξάρες και τα δεινά της Μέσης Ανατολής

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Συμπληρώνεται ακριβώς ένας αιώνας από τότε που οι διπλωμάτες Μαρκ Σάικς, από την πλευρά της Βρετανίας, και Φρανσουά Ζορζ-Πικό, από τη γαλλική πλευρά, υπέγραψαν τη συμφωνία που θα διαμοίραζε τα εδάφης της Μέσης Ανατολής «εν αναμονή» της κατάρρευσης της Οθωμανικής Αυτοκρατορίας.

Συμπληρώνεται ακριβώς ένας αιώνας από τότε που οι διπλωμάτες Μαρκ Σάικς, από την πλευρά της Βρετανίας, και Φρανσουά Ζορζ-Πικό, από τη γαλλική πλευρά, υπέγραψαν τη συμφωνία που θα διαμοίραζε τα εδάφης της Μέσης Ανατολής «εν αναμονή» της κατάρρευσης της Οθωμανικής Αυτοκρατορίας. Αγνοώντας την ύπαρξη διαφορετικών κοινοτήτων, και βασιζόμενη… στον χάρακα πάνω στον χάρτη, η συνθήκη θεωρείται από αρκετούς ως ένα από τα θεμέλια κρίσεων που μαστίζουν μέχρι σήμερα την περιοχή.

Η συμφωνία Sykes-Picot, της 16ης Μαΐου 1916 ανάμεσα στο Λονδίνο και το Παρίσι έθεσε τις βάσεις για την έναρξη μίας διαδικασίας που θα οδηγήσει στη χάραξη των συνόρων που ισχύουν έναν αιώνα μετά στη Μέση Ανατολή.
Στο τέλος του 1915, μεσούντος του πρώτου Παγκοσμίου Πολέμου, η Γαλλία και η Βρετανία συζητούν τον καταμερισμό των αραβικών επαρχιών της Οθωμανικής Αυτοκρατορίας.

Ταυτόχρονα, για να δημιουργήσουν ένα νέο μέτωπο και να αντιμετωπίσουν τον τζιχάντ του σουλτάνου-χαλίφη που υποστηρίζεται από τη Γερμανία, ο βρετανός ύπατος αρμοστής στην Αίγυπτο, ο Χένρι ΜακΜαόν, διαπραγματεύεται με τον σερίφ Χουσέιν της Μέκκας, προσφέροντάς του την προοπτική της αραβικής ανεξαρτησίας.

Οι δύο μεγάλες αποικιακές δυνάμεις της εποχής είναι ήδη παρούσες στην περιοχή: η Γαλλία μέσω της οικονομικής και πολιτιστικής της επιρροής στο Λεβάντε και η Μεγάλη Βρετανία στην Αίγυπτο, την οποία κατέχει από το 1882.

Ορίζουν δύο διπλωμάτες, τον Γάλλο Ζορζ Πικό (πρόγονο του πρώην προέδρου της Γαλλίας Βαλερί Ζισκάρ ντ’ Εστέν) και τον Βρετανό Μαρκ Σάικς (που θα πεθάνει τρία χρόνια αργότερα στο Παρίσι από την ισπανική γρίπη), για να διαπραγματευθούν μία μυστική διευθέτηση, η οποία θα περάσει στην ιστορία με τα επώνυμά τους: «συμφωνία Sykes-Picot».

Εκείνη την εποχή γίνεται λόγος για τη «συμφωνία Cambon-Grey», η οποία συνομολογήθηκε με την ανταλλαγή επιστολών στις 9, 15 και 16 Μαΐου ανάμεσα στον γάλλο πρεσβευτή στο Λονδίνο Πολ Καμπόν και τον βρετανό υπουργό Εξωτερικών Εντουαρντ Γκρέι. Αργότερα, σε αυτήν θα προσχωρήσουν η Ρωσία και η Ιταλία.

Ο Σάικς έλεγε ότι ήθελε «να χαράξει μία γραμμή από το «e» της Ακρας ( Acr(e) ) μέχρι το «τελευταίο k» του Κιρκούκ ( Kirkou(k) ), γράφει ο βρετανός συγγραφέας Τζέιμς Μπαρ στο βιβλίο του «Μία Γραμμή στην Άμμο» (A line in the sand, 2011).

Η μαύρη αυτή γραμμή χωρίζει τη Μέση Ανατολή στους χάρτες της συμφωνίας, αγνοώντας τις εθνότητες ή τους θρησκευτικούς διαχωρισμούς: η «Συρία» των Γάλλων, στο βορρά, η «Αραβία» των Βρετανών, στο νότο. Το σύνολο χωρισμένο σε πέντε ζώνες.

Η συμφωνία προβλέπει ότι «η Γαλλία και η Μεγάλη Βρετανία είναι διατεθειμένες αναγνωρίσουν και να υποστηρίξουν ένα ανεξάρτητο αραβικό κράτος ή μία συνομοσπονδία αραβικών κρατών» εντός των εκατέρωθεν ζωνών επιρροής Α (εσωτερική Συρία με τη Δαμασκό και το Χαλέπι συν την περιοχή της Μοσούλης) και την Β (ανάμεσα στη γραμμή Sykes-Picot και μία γραμμή Ακαμπα-Κουβέιτ).

Συνορεύουν με τις ζώνες άμεσης επιρροής , μπλε στο βορρά για τη Γαλλία (Λίβανος και Κιλικία) και κόκκινη στο νότο για τη Μεγάλη Βρετανία (Κουβέιτ και κάτω Μεσοποταμία, με το θύλακα της Χάιφα για την εξυπηρέτηση μίας σιδηροδρομικής γραμμής που φθάνει μέχρι τη Βαγδάτη). Η φαιά ζώνη, η Παλαιστίνη, είναι διεθνοποιημένη.

Η συμφωνία θα αποκαλυφθεί από την ρωσική επαναστατική κυβέρνηση στο τέλος του 1917. Θα συμβολίσει για τους Άραβες την αποικιοκρατική εξαπάτηση και θα εξοργίσει τον Λόρενς της Αραβίας, που επιφορτίσθηκε με την οργάνωση της αραβικής εξέγερσης τον Ιούνιο 1916.

Ο χωρισμός που προέβλεπε η συμφωνία θα παραμείνει σε θεωρητικό επίπεδο, μετά την κατάληψη των υπό διευθέτησιν εδαφών από τους Τούρκους.

Το 1917, με τη ρωσική επανάσταση και, στη συνέχεια, με την είσοδο των Ηνωμένων Πολιτειών στον πόλεμο, οι όροι του παιγνιδιού μεταβάλλονται, επισημαίνει ο γάλλος ιστορικός Henry Laurens, καθηγητής στο College de France.

Θέλοντας να αμφισβητήσει επί του πεδίου τη συμφωνία, το Λονδίνο μετακινεί τα πιόνια του σε ζώνες που η γαλλική στρατιωτική διοίκηση έχει παραμελήσει, κερδίζοντας την συμπάθεια των ηγετών της αραβικής εξέγερσης και στη συνέχεια του σιωνιστικού κινήματος με την υπόσχεση μίας «εβραϊκής εστίας» στην Παλαιστίνη (Διακήρυξη Βalfour, 2 Νοεμβρίου 1917).

Υπό το βλέμμα του Ζορζ Πικό, που στο μεταξύ έχει γίνει Ύπατος Αρμοστής Συρίας/Παλαιστίνης, ο βρετανός στρατηγός Εντμουντ Αλενμπι καταλαμβάνει την Ιερουσαλήμ στις 11 Δεκεμβρίου 1917. Η Δαμασκός πέφτει στις 30 Σεπτεμβρίου 1918.

Αμέσως μετά το τέλος του πολέμου, μία συνομιλία ανάμεσα στις κυβερνήσεις της Γαλλίας και της Μεγάλης Βρετανίας μετατρέπει στη συμφωνία Sykes-Picot, τη στιγμή που το πετρέλαιο αρχίζει να παίρνει στρατηγική σημασία.

Χωρίς μάρτυρες και στα αγγλικά, η συνάντηση αυτή ανάμεσα στον Ζορζ Κλεμανσό και τον Ντέιβιντ Λόιντ Τζορτζ είναι αποφασιστικής σημασίας για τη Μέση Ανατολή, σύμφωνα με τον Henry Laurens. Η Γαλλία εγκαταλείπει την Παλαιστίνη και την περιοχή της Μοσούλης απαιτώντας στο μερίδιό της στο πετρέλαιο.

Τον Απρίλιο του 1920, η διάσκεψη του Σαν Ρέμο επικυρώνει τα καθεστώτα εντολής ενόψει της ανεξαρτησίας, τα οποία ανατέθηκαν στην Μεγάλη Βρετανία (Παλαιστίνη, Υπεριορδανία, Ιράκ) και στη Γαλλία (Συρία, Λίβανος). Το Παρίσι θα απαρνηθεί το 1921 την Κιλικία και το 1939 το σαντζάκ της Αλεξανδρέτας (περιοχή της Αντιόχειας).

Το 1922, και μετά την καταστολή των εξεγέρσεων στην Παλαιστίνη, τη Συρία και το Ιράκ, οι δύο μεγάλες δυνάμεις θα λάβουν από την Κοινωνία των Εθνών την επικύρωση των εντολών τους, που θα αποτελέσουν τη βάση για τη γέννηση των σημερινών χωρών της περιοχής.

https://www.in.gr/2016/05/16/plus/featu ... i-anatoli/
Την ίδια ώρα που χάραζαν αυτές τις γραμμές στο χάρτη με τους Γάλλους πίσω απο κλειστές πόρτες, είχανε στείλει τον περίφημο Λόρενς της Αραβίας να αναστατώσει τους Άραβες και τους πείσει να εξεγερθούν κατά των Οθωμανών. Κατάφεραν να πείσουν τον Χασεμίτη Φαϊσαλ με την υπόσχεση να τον αναγνωρίσουν ως Βασιλιά της Μεγάλης Συρίας, με σύνορα από τις άκρες του Ιράν μέχρι τη Μεσόγειο, που φυσικά θα περιελάμβανε μεταξύ άλλω τα ίδια εδάφη που υπόσχονταν να παραδώσουν στους Γάλλους. Και επειδή δεν ήταν αρκετό, ταυτόχρονα οι Σιωνιστές εντός Βρετανίας διαπραγματεύονταν τη δημιουργία Εβραϊκού κράτους....που θα περιελάμβανε τα ίδια εδάφη που ήδη οι Άγγλοι υποσχέθηκαν στον Φαϊσαλ και τη Γαλλία....και φυσικά η Αγγλική διπλωματία δεν τους χάλασε χατίρι. Ρίχνοντας ζάρια και ο,τι κάτι :D

Και επειδή ο Φαϊσάλ ήταν κύριος και καλό παιδί, κατάλαβε μεν ότι τον πιάσανε κότσο όταν οι σοβιετικοί έβγαλαν στη φόρα τις μυστικές συνθήκες αλλά δεν τους κράτησε κακία. Οι Άγγλοι, γι'αυτή του την καλοσύνη και την αμέριστη βοήθειά του στο μέτωπο της Μέσης Ανατολής, δεν μπορούσαν βέβαια να του δώσουν παναραβικό κράτος με τόσο εκτεταμένα σύνορα(lol) αλλά τον αντάμειψαν....κάνοντάς τον βασιλιά του Ιράκ. Στην πορεία, επειδή εκτός απο καλό παιδί ήταν και σοφός άνθρωπος, αντιλήφθηκε και παρατήρησε μόνος του ότι αυτό που του δώσανε είναι 4 τυχαίες γραμμές σε ένα χάρτη χωρίς καμιά εθνική ομοιογένεια, και μένα ένα μάτσο εθνικά και θρησκευτικά σύνολα στοιβαγμένα μαζί, όσα χωράνε, αλλά τότε ήταν αργά. Σαν τελευταίο δώρο, ο ταλαίπωρος ο Φαϊζαλ πέθανε πέθανε πρόωρα στην Ελβετία-πιθανότατα δολοφονημένος :wink
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Εικόνα

Beirut: Faisal I, better known to Western readers as the first king of Iraq, was actually the short-lived monarch of a Hashemite kingdom in Damascus.

It lasted for 21 months only and collapsed when the French Army rumbled into the Syrian capital in the summer of 1920, laying claim to its share of the Sykes-Picot Agreement. Abiding by its part of the agreement, Great Britain did not object to the toppling of its ally in Damascus, rewarding him instead with an alternate throne in Baghdad.

Faisal Bin Al Hussain, sometimes referred to as Sherif Faisal, was born and raised in Makkah, where his father, Sharif Hussain, served as emir since 1908. He studied in Istanbul and began his career as an MP for Jeddah in the Ottoman Parliament.

In 1916 he took up arms with his father, who launched a military revolt against the Ottomans from Makkah. It was funded and planned by the British, who believed that the Ottoman Empire would only end if it imploded from within, through domestic “fires” and “revolts” launched by the numerous communities and ethnicities under its crown.

The British promised that if Hussain helped the Allies win the First World War, he would get to rule an Arab kingdom headquartered in Makkah, with his son, Ali, as heir to the throne. The second Abdullah would become king of Iraq while Faisal the third would be the king of Syria, with Damascus as his capital.

This was in stark contrast to what Sykes-Picot had in store for the Arabs. The promises to Sharif Hussain were logistically impossible to achieve since, according to the agreement, Syria and Lebanon would go to the French once the First World War ended in Europe, while Iraq and Palestine would fall to the British.

Faisal, therefore, could not become king of Syria without French support and nobody in Paris was willing to offer any.

With British support, Faisal shone as a battle commander in the Great Arab Revolt. His first victory was in Aqaba in July 1917 and the last was the capture of Damascus in September 1918. He declared the city liberated from 400 years of Ottoman rule and was proclaimed by the Syrians as “king of Syria” in May 1920.

The 30-year-old king worked for a modernised and unified country with a centralised administration and modern infrastructure. He oversaw the country’s first elections in 1919, inaugurating its first parliament, and he re-opened the Ottoman Medical School in Damascus, translating all of its literature into Arabic and hiring local professors to teach its courses, renaming it the Arab Medical Academy.

Private newspapers flourished during his reign and parliament debated women’s suffrage years before it was passed in civilised countries like Switzerland. He also established the Arab Language Assembly, the highest international organisation to date promoting the Arabic language, and signed off the modern Syrian currency, army, police, and high school curriculum.

Shortly after setting foot in Damascus, Faisal travelled to France to attend the Paris Peace Conference. This is where he realised that Sykes-Picot was a reality waiting to materialise and that that the promises made to his father before the war were nothing but lies.

The French made their mandatory claims to Syria, as outlined in Sykes-Picot, and sent their army to take Damascus in mid-July 1920. Faisal fought back but his troops were crushed and his defence minister killed in the infamous Battle of Maysaloun.

The mandate was imposed and Faisal was dethroned and expelled from Damascus, with orders never to return. To compensate, the British — who had not lifted a finger to help him that summer — appointed him king of Iraq in March 1921. He ruled from Baghdad until his death at a Swiss hospital in September 1933.

https://gulfnews.com/world/mena/syria-f ... -1.1822280
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ertain images will indelibly mark memories of this year and one will be the gut-wrenching video of a five-year-old pulled from rubble in Aleppo with the frozen stare of trauma, his face streaked with soot and blood. “Cease fires” come and go. Hell, it seems, has a special purchase on Syria. When, for heaven’s sake, can it end? No one can answer.

When did it begin? That, at least, we can explain.

Rarely can one moment and one place be fixed as a trigger for events that unravel a whole part of the world for more than a century. But the blood-saturated disintegration of today’s Syria and much of the surrounding carnage and anomie have their origins 100 years ago, in the summer of 1916, and in British-ruled Cairo.

It was there that critical parts of a secret deal were put in place that carved up control of the Middle East – a land grab that could be completed only by having no regard for promises made and by betraying people who had shed much blood in expectation of those promises being met.

The deal was the Sykes-Picot Agreement, made between Britain, France and Czarist Russia, and named for its principal authors, Sir Mark Sykes for Britain and M. Francois Georges Picot of France.

In this arrangement Britain was to have control of Egypt, Palestine, parts of Arabia and a new nation that became Iraq. France was to get Syria. And Russia would have control of Turkey, including of Constantinople and the Dardanelles—the channel from the Black Sea into the Mediterranean that Russia had sought since the days of Peter the Great to give it “warm water” naval power.

The Bolshevik Revolution rendered void the Russian slice of the cake—Ottoman Turkey was replaced by a secular Turkish state. But—fatefully—the rest of the deal was carried out.

The Sykes-Picot negotiations went on for many months and were handled in a way that defined two contrasting national approaches to foreign policy, embodied in the men themselves.

Picot was a professional diplomat who never stepped outside the protocols of his office. Sir Mark Sykes was a gifted amateur to whom life in the diplomatic corps would have been intolerable.

The British gathered a strange assembly of talents in Cairo in 1916, mixing career military officers, stolid colonial administrators, ambitious diplomats with little local sympathy or understanding, academics renowned for their archaeological discoveries in the region, intelligence agents from India and the Sudan and several civil servants locked into turf fights between rival departments directed from London.

Even in this confusion, Sykes seemed an improbable choice to handle such a potentially explosive issue, the covert cartography that would draw arbitrary new national borders from the Mediterranean to the Persian Gulf, from the Levant to the Sudan, from the Nile to the Tigris and Euphrates.

Sykes had a vast family fortune that, as a young man, he had tapped for extensive travel in the Middle East. He was of a group and class called the Orientalists because they so admired and soaked up the cultures of antiquity – the Babylonians, the Assyrians, the Egyptians, the Persians, the Arabs, and of later influences like the Turks and the Armenians. In England Sykes had a grand country house and estate, Sledmere, in Yorkshire. Like other travelers with deep pockets he shipped home artifacts from the Orient and had an architect create a Turkish Room at Sledmere, featuring Armenian ceramics.

Sykes’s self-gathered erudition, though, sat oddly with another trait of the class he grew up with—a casual prejudice toward “Orientals” themselves. He drew impromptu racial caricatures on scraps of paper, Jews and Arabs with large noses, fat Turks and shifty merchants in the bazaars.

“The same vein of artistry would transform him into a first-class music hall comedian; holding a chance gathering spellbound by swift and complete changes of character…he could have become a good high comedy or tragic actor and he was an excellent and entertaining writer,” one of the British proconsuls in Cairo noted.

A newcomer to Cairo with a background in archaeology thought Sykes was miscast in such a critical role.

“He would take an aspect of the truth, detach it from its circumstances, inflate it, twist and model it, until its old likeness and its new unlikeness together drew a laugh; and laughs were his triumphs,” he wrote. “His instincts lay in parody…he saw the odd in everything and missed the even.”

This was T.E. Lawrence. In that summer of 1916 Lawrence bounced between the army’s intelligence arm and a small, secret outfit called the Arab Bureau. One of his tasks was to explore and judge the military potential of the Hashemites, the Arab monarchy who were the traditional custodians of the Holy cities of Mecca and Medina. They had already risen against their oppressors, the Ottoman Turks.

Lawrence knew about the negotiations between Sykes and Picot. He understood that if implemented an agreement would completely undercut promises of Arab independence already made to the Hashemites in order to get them to fight the Turks. Indeed, his chief at the Arab Bureau, had complained to London in a somewhat convoluted text: “…the conclusion of this Agreement is of no immediate service to our Arab policy as pursued here, and will only not be a grave disadvantage if, for some time to come, it is kept strictly secret.”

Sustaining the impression that British policy was not only of two minds but of at least two irreconcilable camps, the British High Commissioner in Egypt—in theory the ultimate colonial satrap of Egypt—instructed an aide to make clear to London that “We do not want to create a powerful and united Arab Kingdom either under the Sherif or anyone else, even if such a thing were practicable. It would be a danger and a cause of future embarrassment in view of our arrangements with France and Russia.”

Lawrence, on his own, decided that he could not be a partner to this duplicity.

Moreover, he had a radical approach to harnessing Arab armies to a British campaign to drive the Turks from Arabia, Palestine and Syria.

Army orthodoxy was to wait until overwhelming military power was ready for a classic ground battle, particularly depending on an opening barrage from massed artillery. Lawrence knew that this was not the kind of war Arabs were equipped either by temperament or equipment to fight.

“The hill men,” he reported to his masters in Cairo, “struck me as good material for guerilla warfare. They are hard and fit, very active; independent, cheerful snipers.”

His plan was to find a Hashemite leader who could fully exploit this ability, to move fast in relatively small numbers, to harass and disrupt the Turks, drawing off forces that they would otherwise use to face a British invasion of Palestine.

In October Lawrence found his man, Prince Faisal, one of four sons of the Hashemite King, Hussein. Lawrence made a 100-mile journey from the Red Sea coast into the desert to meet him. Not yet the obdurate desert traveler of legend, Lawrence was blistered by “the pestilent beating of the Arab sun and the long monotony of camel pacing.”

Faisal had made a small mud house the base of his camp and immediately he impressed Lawrence.

“Tall, graceful, vigorous, almost regal in appearance…far more imposing personally than any of his brothers, knows it and trades on it…obviously very clever, perhaps not over scrupulous,” Lawrence wrote

This was the Prince whom Lawrence would cast as his military protégé and brother in arms, the essential co-star in the literary epic that immortalized their campaign, Seven Pillars of Wisdom. In that first meeting Lawrence set the bait for how they would pre-empt the Sykes-Picot map. Faisal asked Lawrence how he liked “our place here in Wadi Safra.” Lawrence replied: “Well, but it is far from Damascus.”

Faisal got the message. Lawrence warned him of the French ambition to grab Syria after the war and pressed the need for the Arab armies to sweep up not only Damascus but Homs, Ham and Aleppo. Faisal, it turned out, shared a strong Francophobia with Lawrence.

By December 1917 the British had taken Jerusalem and the Ottoman Empire was collapsing. By this time, in London, the British had agreed to another part of the region’s future that, although never part of Sykes-Picot, would have lasting consequences : Palestine should become “a national home for the Jewish people.”

However, the semantics of this agreement were slippery. The original wording had been “Palestine should be reconstituted as the national home of the Jewish people.”

This commitment was bitterly opposed by some of the British officials in Cairo, one of whom wrote: “The country is wholly unsuited to the ends the Jews have in mind, it is a poor land, incapable of great development.” (And within a few years a new British government insisted that “there is no question of making Palestine a Jewish State.”)

The grander Sykes-Picot plan for Turkey became moot because of the Russian Revolution. In fact, the whole pre-war world order was in tatters. At the Paris Peace Conference in 1919 Lawrence wrote “I hope the Sykes-Picot Agreement is given up.”

The French had different ideas. Faisal had led his Arab army into Damascus but his days there were numbered. The Hashemites were given a new kingdom, Trans-Jordan, and in 1921 Faisal got a consolation prize in the form of a throne in Baghdad and a new nation, Iraq.

Sykes never lived to see the outcome of his scheme. He died, aged 39, during the Paris conference in the influenza pandemic that killed many more than did the war.

Of course, it’s all too easy to see the catastrophe of the present, look at those whose design replaced the vacuum left by the collapse of the Ottoman Empire and ask, what were they thinking?

But these were one set of colonial administrators replacing another (the Turks, at least, had not thought it useful to invent client nations). The British, more than the French, were concerned to preserve imperial power. Primarily that meant that stability in the Middle East was essential to having unchallenged routes to the prize of their empire, India. And both the British and the French wanted assured control of the Suez Canal, which meant the subjugation of Egypt.

There were plenty of British administrators with as much knowledge of the Arab territorial claims as Lawrence but in the big picture of colonial security they were, in the phrase that Lawrence used to describe his Arab campaign, treated as being just part of a sideshow of a sideshow.

As result, new states were imposed on the Arabian map with no regard for the occupants. The Iraqi borders, for example, were arbitrarily drawn and disregarded 2,000 years of tribal, sectarian and nomadic occupation.

Nothing had cooled the innate hostilities between the Shia, in the south of Iraq, and the Sunnis in the north. Disastrously, the Shia were left virtually unrepresented in the British-appointed government of Iraq.

These arrangements were combined with a naïve belief in religious harmony. The treaty putting Faisal on the Iraqi throne stipulated: “The law shall ensure to all complete freedom of conscience and the free exercise of all forms of worship…no discrimination of any kind shall be made between the inhabitants of Iraq on the ground of race, religion or language…”

The vast desert lands to the south of Iraq were left undefined. The reason was Ibn Saud, the most effective warrior king in the region. Eventually that line on the map was settled by the Saudis themselves, on the strength of their Wahhabi-indoctrinated armies.

There is a terrible symmetry to this story. When Tony Blair decided to become George W. Bush’s poodle and accept fake intelligence to justify invading Iraq he became the destroyer of the original British carve-up. The whole region was destabilized and—hardly an intended consequence—Iran was suddenly given the space to become a regional power, and to reassert Shia influence.

Blair argues that he had a moral imperative, to rid Iraq of a despot, but he displayed the same cultural and historical illiteracy and hubris that allowed the Sykes-Picot scheme to be devised and enforced. He didn’t understand that that scheme created states that were so inherently unstable that they needed autocrats to hold them together (not necessarily brutal autocrats) and that they would fall apart if the autocracy ended.

As a result, hundreds of thousands of people have died, carnage on a scale that even Saddam Hussein could never have contemplated. And despite all his post hoc revisionism, Blair destroyed his reputation. He joins a confederacy of ghosts and leaves a charnel house.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-100-y ... east-today
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