Το σχέδιο Μακρόν για τον έλεγχο της Ευρώπης

[Dwarven Blacksmith]

Να συμπληρώσω ότι ο Μακρόν έχει πολύ καλές πιθανότητες να είναι στην εξουσία μέχρι το 2027 και επομένως θα έχει πολλές ευκαιρίες να "σπάσει" τις αντιστάσεις.

(Bloomberg) -- In a minimalist office in downtown Paris, Emmanuel Macron’s aides have spent months calculating which of their boss’s ideas are going to upset his allies the most.

Beneath retro election posters on bare white walls, the advisers run the numbers on what will enrage the Germans most, what can be done most cheaply, and what will grab him most attention, according to a person familiar with the work.

The model includes analysis of the impact of stopping new countries joining the EU, restricting rights to passport-free travel and cooperation on defense. Add in a provocative warning about the failings of NATO and out comes phase two of Macron’s plan to remake the European Union.

Two and a half years after demolishing the French establishment to sweep into the Elysee Palace, the 41-year-old president is seeking to cement his position as the EU’s pre-eminent leader. Frustrated in his efforts to coax German Chancellor Angela Merkel into action, he’s striking out alone and part of the grand plan is to break things along the way.

Read more: Macron’s Bid to Be Europe’s Leader Means Bruises for French Allies

“He thinks we need urgency,” said Martin Quencez, deputy director of the Paris office of policy group the German Marshall Fund. “Macron thinks we’re witnessing the beginnings of a bipolar world and he wants Europe to be a player, not an object in that game.”

The slaughter of Europe’s sacred cows is angering France’s old partners. But it’s also stirring up long-suppressed debates, creating unexpected new alliances and, say friends and foes alike, it might just work.

Macron’s team argues that the EU can no longer afford to work with its traditional habits of consensus building and incremental change. The challenges facing the bloc — from technological change, to migration, climate change and an increasingly hostile world — are too great for its leaders to continue moving at the pace of the slowest member on every issue.

There are risks and disruptions from Macron’s attempts to shake things up, but sticking to the status quo could be lethal for the EU, one official said.

As leaders of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization prepare to meet in London next week, Russia has become a common thread in much of Macron’s thinking.

When the EU’s former Soviet states look East, they see a resurgent power that is already destabilizing Ukraine and looking to flex its muscles.

Macron sees a potential ally.

If Moscow could be drawn into Europe’s orbit instead of China’s, it could help tip the balance on the Eurasian super-continent. Macron believes Russia will tire of playing junior partner to Beijing and when it does, he wants Europe to be ready, Quencez said.

So last month, France appointed a special envoy to rebuild the EU’s relationship with the Kremlin and to convince the rest of the EU the endeavor is worthwhile. Macron’s already hosted President Vladimir Putin twice and next month he’ll lead talks in Paris with Putin, Merkel and President Volodymyr Zelenskiy to stop the ongoing hostilities in eastern Ukraine.

Russia may be the focus of Macron’s recent initiatives, but the heart of his project is European power.

With China growing more assertive and the U.S. more unreliable, Macron is demanding the EU put in place mechanisms to wield its power as a more cohesive geopolitical player.

That means no more vetoes for tiny new members in the East and a push to streamline decision-making, while Macron is prepared to make the Schengen passport-free travel zone — a fundamental plank of the European ideal — a privilege conditional on helping out with immigration.

Some officials say it’s just the wake-up call Europe needs.

Behind the scenes, diplomats from several EU countries said their governments are more supportive of Macron’s vision than they are prepared to let on in public. They are happy for Macron to take the flak and they welcome the way his extreme positions push the entire bloc further even if he eventually has to compromise.

But he’s really winding some people up.

“Officials in Europe have been fairly receptive to the substance of Macron’s message. But they’ve been put off by the style”

One European diplomat said he’d never seen the Germans so angry after Macron’s attack on NATO in the Economist this month. It wasn’t just the content of what he’d said, but the provocative language he used and the fact that they got no warning.

In the Brussels headquarters of the EU and NATO, as well as in other European capitals, many officials criticize Macron for being arrogant, autocratic and acting alone when collaboration would get better results.

Germany and Italy have been at odds for years but they are suddenly finding common ground as Merkel reaches out for help pushing back against Macron, according to an Italian official with knowledge of the relationship. The idea of tightening the Schengen agreement on passport-free travel has both sides alarmed, the official said.

“Officials in Europe have been fairly receptive to the substance of Macron’s message,” said Bruno Tertrais, deputy director of the Paris-based Foundation for Strategic Research. “But they’ve been put off by the style.”

To understand Macron’s realpolitik, it’s worth looking at where he’s building bridges. And where he’s burning them.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s anti-Brussels, illiberal stance puts him directly at odds with the French president’s enlightenment vision. But Macron sees Orban as someone who can be useful building support in the East.

That means that Orban too has been entertained at the Elysee and Macron has pressed him to convince Poland to accept a thaw in relations with Russia. With Orban under fire for restricting democracy and eroding judicial independence, that’s another relationship that makes some governments uncomfortable.

Macron and his aides spent hours on the telephone with incoming European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen after her selection in June to press their case.

Merkel, on the other hand, has been given a series of warning shots by Macron. In February, France threatened to trigger greater EU scrutiny for the controversial Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline between Germany and Russia that Merkel is pushing ahead with in the face of widespread concerns in eastern Europe.

Macron eventually relented, but the episode showed the complexities at play between Paris, Berlin, Brussels and Moscow.

Back in the fashionable surroundings of the second arrondissement, between Facebook Inc.’s Paris headquarters and the 19th century stock exchange, Macron’s team are mapping out the next steps of his plan.

In constant contact with the Elysee via Whatsapp and Telegram, the team have stress tested all of his policy initiatives using a metrics system that scores each idea according to factors such as how much opposition it will encounter, how much it costs and how big a change it requires.

Beyond the NATO talks and the Ukraine summit in December, the French president plans to start the new year with another bombshell over the Schengen Accord.

“Macron offers a very coherent geopolitical view of the world,” Tertrais said. “He’s probably now the only western leader to have one.”

--With assistance from Nikos Chrysoloras, Alessandro Speciale, Zoltan Simon, Milda Seputyte and Ott Ummelas.

To contact the authors of this story: Helene Fouquet in Paris at hfouquet1@bloomberg.netIan Wishart in Brussels at iwishart@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Ben Sills at bsills@bloomberg.net, Guy Collins

For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/emmanuel ... i_xB3NrUoo

[πατησιωτης]

One European diplomat said he’d never seen the Germans so angry after Macron’s attack on NATO in the Economist this month. It wasn’t just the content of what he’d said, but the provocative language he used and the fact that they got no warning.

https://www.liberal.gr/world/oi-13-gall ... nia/275887

[Dwarven Blacksmith]

“The questions I have asked are open questions, that we haven’t solved yet,” Macron said at a joint news conference with NATO’s secretary general.

“Peace in Europe, the post-INF (Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces Treaty) situation, the relationship with Russia, the Turkey issue, who’s the enemy? So I say: as long as these questions are not resolved, let’s not negotiate about cost-sharing and burden-sharing, or this or the other.”

“So we maybe needed a wake-up call. I’m glad it was delivered, and I’m glad everyone now thinks we should rather think about our strategic goals,” Macron said. “So I make absolutely no apology for having cleared up ambiguities.”

NEW ENEMY
Stoltenberg responded that in uncertain times, strong multilateral institutions such as NATO were essential.

“It’s no secret that there certainly are differences between allies,” he said. “But the strength of NATO is that we have had the same kind of differences before, and every time we have been able to overcome them.”

Macron, whose overtures to Russia in past months have worried allies in eastern Europe, said the key question now for NATO should be to decide who was its shared foe, given that the Soviet Union had long fallen.

French President Emmanuel Macron and NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg leave after a meeting at the Elysee Palace in Paris, France, November 28, 2019. REUTERS/Charles Platiau
“Who is our common enemy?” Macron asked. “This question deserves to be clarified.”

“Is our enemy today, as I hear sometimes, Russia? Is it China? Is it the Atlantic alliance’s purpose to designate them as enemies? I don’t think so,” Macron said.

“Our common enemy at the alliance is, it seems, terrorism, which has hit all of our countries.”

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-franc ... 000192c4db

[Daje]

Αρα? Ποιο ειναι το συμπερασμα?

[Eθνικοκοινωνιστης]

Αρα? Ποιο ειναι το συμπερασμα?

οτι θα διαπιστωσει η γερμανια οτι η γαλλια παιρνει πρωτοβουλιες για στρατιωτικη και πολιτικη πρωτοκαθεδρια και θα την κανει με ελαφρα

εξαλλου το ευρω ηταν απαιτηση της γαλλικης ολιγαρχιας προκειμενου προκειμενου να χρησιμοποιησει τα ευεργηματα του σκληρου νομισματος για να καταστειλει το διευρημενο κοινωνικο της κρατος

σε καθε περιπτωση γαλλικη κυριαχια χωρις την συγκαταθεση αμερικανων και ρωσων δεν μπορει να υπαρξει

το προσπαθησε και ο ντε γκωλ ομωως και εφαγε τα μουτρα του ή τον εκαναν να το ξανασκεφτει (μαης του 68) οι φιλελε

η περιοδος που εισεπρατταν οι γερμανοι την δαιμονοποιηση και το αναθεμα απο ολους τους υπολοιπους για χαρη των γαλλων τελειωσε

εδω δεν αντεξαν οι λουδοβικοι θα αντεξουν οι μαριονετες τυπου μακρον?

[aljawn]

[Dwarven Blacksmith]

Σαμπάνιες σήμερα στο Παρίσι.
Η Επιτροπή φαίνεται να ανοίγει το δρόμο για τη δημιουργία ευρωπαϊκών βιομηχανικών πρωταθλητών όπως πάντα ήθελαν.

https://www.politico.eu/article/europe- ... m-siemens/

France claims big win against Vestager in battle for champions
Brussels is shifting its priorities quickly toward industrial heavyweights.

By GIORGIO LEALI AND THIBAULT LARGER 12/12/19, 6:08 PM CET Updated 12/13/19, 12:18 PM CET
The French are popping the Champagne corks.

They think they have achieved the impossible, and have pushed EU competition chief Margrethe Vestager to revise her hallowed rulebook to allow the creation of European industrial champions that can rival China.

Και φυσικά τα άλλα καλά νέα είναι οι Βρετανικές εκλογές, όπου ο Μακρόν θέλει μια γρήγορη έξοδο για να σταματήσει η Βρετανία να μονοπωλεί την ατζέντα.

[Kauldron]

ο Μακρόν θέλει μια γρήγορη έξοδο για να σταματήσει η Βρετανία να μονοπωλεί την ατζέντα

E, ναι, να παίρνει σειρά και η Γαλλία.

Ρε την πηδήξανε την Ε.Ε.
Δυο στα δυο, και το δημοψήφισμα, και οι εκλογές.Λουζεράδες ευρωπαϊστές με τις ρόζ παραλλαγές.

[Awesomatic]

Δεν ξέρω τι από αυτά που γράφει το άρθρο ισχύει, αλλά λάθος δεν είναι.

Όντως δεν αντιδρά γρήγορα η Ευρώπη, σέρνεται από τις εξελίξεις, δεν τις οδηγεί.
Όντως χρειαζόμαστε έναν ευρωπαϊκό στρατό, υπεύθυνο να φυλάει τα σύνορα της Ευρώπης και η Γαλλία είναι αυτή τη στιγμή η μόνη που μπορεί να είναι εγγυήτρια της ασφάλειας χάρη στο πυρηνικό της οπλοστάσιο.
Όντως η διεύρυνση της Ευρώπης πρέπει να σταματήσει. Κακώς μπήκαν Ρουμανία/Βουλγαρία και τώρα θα βάλουμε και άλλες χώρες σε παρόμοια κατάσταση;
Οι περιορισμοί στην μετακίνηση χωρίς διαβατήρια είναι λογικοί αφού η ήπειρος έχει γεμίσει λαθρομετανάστες και θα καταρρεύσουν τα κοινωνικά συστήματα αν δεν ανακοπούν. Σιγά σιγά τα βρούμε νέους τρόπους ελέγχου (πχ με βιομετρικά διαβατήρια) οπότε τα πράγματα θα επανέλθουν στο φυσιολογικό για τους Ευρωπαίους πολίτες.

[Ζενίθεδρος]

Το ξέρω πως αυτό με τα σύνορα της ΕΕ που θα πιάνουν όλο το Αιγαίο και θα φτάνουν μέχρι την Δεκέλεια, είναι το υπ αριθμόν 1 υλικό πεοκρουσιας κάθε νοτιοβαλκανιου ευρωτσολια που σέβεται τον εαυτό του, αλλά δυστυχώς ή ευτυχώς δεν πρόκειται να αφήσουν έτσι ευκολα οι Αμερικανοί τη Γαλλία και τη Γερμανία να έχουν αξιόλογο στόλο στην ανατολική Μεσόγειο, και να την ελέγχουν πλήρως τη Μέση Ανατολή και ό,τι περνάει από το Σουεζ.

[Dwarven Blacksmith]

Ευρεία στήριξη σε γαλλική πρόταση για ναυτική αποστολή της ΕΕ στα στενά Ορμούζ

Σύμφωνα με το Παρίσι, εκτός απο τη Γαλλία στηρίζουν την πρόταση η Γερμανία, το Βέλγιο, η Δανία, η Ελλάδα, η Ιταλία, η Ολλανδία και η Πορτογαλία.
Μια υπό την Ευρώπη ναυτική αποστολή στα στενά του Χορμούζ --μια ζωτικής σημασίας θαλάσσια οδό για τις παγκόσμιες μεταφορές η οποία υφίσταται τις συνέπειες των στρατιωτικών εντάσεων στη Μέση Ανατολή-- κέρδισε την πολιτική υποστήριξη περισσότερων χωρών, ανακοίνωσε σήμερα η γαλλική κυβέρνηση.

Το γαλλικό υπουργείο Εξωτερικών ανακοίνωσε πως η αποστολή έχει τώρα την πολιτική υποστήριξη της Γερμανίας, του Βελγίου, της Δανίας, της Ελλάδας, της Ιταλίας, της Ολλανδίας και της Πορτογαλίας, πέραν της ίδιας της Γαλλίας.

Προηγουμένως υποστήριξη για την υπό την ηγεσία της Ευρώπης αποστολή είχαν εκφράσει η Ολλανδία, η Δανία, η Ελλάδα και η Γαλλία.

https://www.skai.gr/news/world/eyreia-s ... ena-ormouz
https://www.euractiv.com/section/global ... of-hormuz/

[nostromos]

σε ποιες τρυπες ειχατε χωθει προχθες ...? τιποτε για την ευρωπαικη αλληλεγκυη θα μας πεις ...? για Γερμανια μιλαμε παντα

[Northern Spirit]

Αλληλεγγυη σε ποιο πραγμα;

[Lord Brum]

Αλληλεγγυη σε ποιο πραγμα;

Στα χρέη μας και να μας φυλάνε τα σύνορα. Α και να μαζέψουν μερικούς λαθρομετανάστες για να μη βάψουμε.εμεις τα χέρια μας με αίμα φυλοντας τα σύνορα

[Ορέστης 35]

Οι λαθρο θα γινουν η βαση του ευροστρατου.