Re: Αμερικανικές εκλογές 2020: τελικές προβλέψεις
Δημοσιεύτηκε: 12 Νοέμ 2020, 23:43
Έτσι μπράβο. Λοιπόν οι κανόνες του παιχνιδιού αυτού αλλάζουν με συγκεκριμένες διαδικασίες (τροποποίηση του Συντάγματος), και οι Δημοκρατικοί δεν το επιδιώκουν. Το κλείνουμε μια και καλή το ζήτημα του popular vote;Stalker έγραψε: 12 Νοέμ 2020, 23:37Μην ανησυχείς, δεν είναι περίπλοκο, μέχρι και ο πατ μου το εξήγησε: hate the game not the playa, ή αλλιώς ο καραγκιόζης μακιαβέλι.Scouser έγραψε: 12 Νοέμ 2020, 21:24 Ρε πουλάκι μου, για να κερδίσεις τις εκλογές στις ΗΠΑ δεν χρειάζεται να κερδίσεις το popular vote. Οπότε οι προεκλογικές εκστρατείες των υποψήφιων δεν δαπανούν πόρους για αυτό, είναι άσκοπο. Και να μείωνε ο Τραμπ τη διαφορά στην Καλιφόρνια στις 500 ψήφους από τα πεντέμιση εκατομμύρια που είναι τώρα και να κέρδιζε την popular vote, πάλι θα έχανε τις εκλογές γιατί όλη η φάση παίζεται στους εκλέκτορες. Το καταλαβαίνεις ή θέλεις να στο ζωγραφίσω;
Spoiler
Σε κάθε περίπτωση μιλάμε για κωμικοτραγικό εκλογικό σύστημα όπου κάποιος μπορεί να χάσει την προεδρία κερδίζοντας πλειοψηφία σε 39 πολιτείες, ή να την πάρει κερδίζοντας 41 αλλά με 12.323.644 ψήφους λιγότερες (-8.4% !) αν υποθέσουμε ότι ψήφισαν ~146εκ όπως το 2020.
δεδομένα αν θέλει κανείς να παίξει:
"State","Population","Votes"
"California","39536653","55"
"Texas","28304596","38"
"Florida","20984400","29"
"New York","19849399","29"
"Pennsylvania","12805537","20"
"Illinois","12802023","20"
"Ohio","11658609","18"
"Georgia","10429379","16"
"North Carolina","10273419","15"
"Michigan","9962311","16"
"New Jersey","9005644","14"
"Virginia","8470020","13"
"Washington","7405743","10"
"Arizona","7016270","11"
"Massachusetts","6859819","11"
"Tennessee","6715984","11"
"Indiana","6666818","11"
"Missouri","6113532","10"
"Maryland","6052177","10"
"Wisconsin","5795483","10"
"Colorado","5607154","9"
"Minnesota","5576606","10"
"South Carolina","5024369","9"
"Alabama","4874747","9"
"Louisiana","4684333","6"
"Kentucky","4454189","8"
"Oregon","4142776","7"
"Oklahoma","3930864","7"
"Connecticut","3588184","7"
"Iowa","3145711","6"
"Utah","3101833","6"
"Arkansas","3004279","6"
"Nevada","2998039","6"
"Mississippi","2984100","6"
"Kansas","2913123","6"
"New Mexico","2088070","5"
"Nebraska","1920076","5"
"West Virginia","1815857","5"
"Idaho","1716943","4"
"Hawaii","1427538","4"
"New Hampshire","1342795","4"
"Maine","1335907","4"
"Rhode Island","1059639","4"
"Montana","1050493","3"
"Delaware","961939","3"
"South Dakota","869666","3"
"North Dakota","755393","3"
"Alaska","739795","3"
"Washington D.C.","693972","3"
"Vermont","623657","3"
"Wyoming","579315","3"