Re: Κορονοϊός από την κινα
Δημοσιεύτηκε: 15 Μαρ 2020, 23:08
https://amp.theguardian.com/world/2020/ ... ssion=trueUK coronavirus crisis ‘to last until spring 2021 and could see 7.9m hospitalised
Καλώς ήρθατε στο Phorum.com.gr Είμαστε εδώ πολλά ενεργά μέλη της διαδικτυακής κοινότητας του Phorum.gr που έκλεισε. Σας περιμένουμε όλους!
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https://amp.theguardian.com/world/2020/ ... ssion=trueUK coronavirus crisis ‘to last until spring 2021 and could see 7.9m hospitalised
Αναμενομενο. Αυτο γινεται σε ολες τις νεες επιδημιες. Μεχρι να βρεθει το εμβολιο.talaipwros έγραψε: 15 Μαρ 2020, 23:07 Ο φακ...https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/ ... spitalisedUK coronavirus crisis 'to last until spring 2021 and could see 7.9m hospitalised'
Exclusive: Public Health England document seen by Guardian says four in five ‘expected’ to contract virus
Coronavirus – latest updates
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Denis Campbell Health policy editor
Sun 15 Mar 2020 19.53 GMT
Last modified on Sun 15 Mar 2020 20.27 GMT
The coronavirus epidemic in the UK will last until next spring and could lead to 7.9 million people being hospitalised, a secret Public Health England (PHE) briefing for senior NHS officials reveals.
The document, seen by the Guardian, is the first time health chiefs tackling the virus have admitted that they expect it to circulate for another 12 months and lead to huge extra strain on an already overstretched NHS.
It also suggests that health chiefs are braced for as many as 80% of Britons becoming infected with the coronavirus over that time.
Prof Chris Whitty, the government’s chief medical adviser, has previously described that figure as the worst-case scenario and suggested that the real number would turn out to be less than that. However, the briefing makes clear that four in five of the population “are expected” to contract the virus.
The document says that: “As many as 80% of the population are expected to be infected with Covid-19 in the next 12 months, and up to 15% (7.9 million people) may require hospitalisation.”
Coronavirus: health experts fear epidemic will ‘let rip’ through UK
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The briefing sets out the latest official thinking about how severely the infection could affect both the public’s health and that of personnel in critical services such as the NHS, police, the fire brigade and transport.
It has been drawn up in recent days by PHE’s emergency preparedness and response team and approved as accurate by Dr Susan Hopkins, PHE’s lead official dealing with the outbreak. It has been shared with hospital bosses and senior doctors in the NHS in Engand.
“For the public to hear that it could last for 12 months, people are going to be really upset about that and pretty worried about that”, said Paul Hunter, a professor of medicine at the University of East Anglia.
“A year is entirely plausible. But that figure isn’t well appreciated or understood,” added Hunter, an expert in epidemiology.
“I think it will dip in the summer, towards the end of June, and come back in November, in the way that usual seasonal flu does. I think it will be around forever, but become less severe over time, as immunity builds up,” he added.
The admission that the virus will continue to cause problems for another year appears to undermine hopes that the arrival of warmer weather this summer would kill it.
Η Αγγλία έχει κ πολλες βιοτεχνίες αυτοκινήτων. Ειδικα αυτοκίνητα με μικρη παραγωγη για enthusiasts (πχ Westfield)
Ας είναι καλά οι ειδικοί που φώναζαν χρόνια. Οι περισσότεροι πολιτικοί δε βλέπουν ούτε μέχρι τη μύτη τους.
Αν ο Τρούμαν είχε ακούσει τον Μακάρθουρ πριν εβδομήντα χρόνια και είχε βομβαρδίσει με πυρηνικά την Κίνα τώρα θα είχαμε γλιτώσει και από τον Κορονοιό και από την προσπάθεια της Κίνας να εξάγει το καθεστώς της και την επιρροή της με προπαγάνδα. Ένα λάθος εβδομήντα χρόνων το πληρώνουμε τώρα.
“ Hi everyone
Just want to say – I’ve seen quite a few people with Covid 19 since Sunday. The vast majority are fine. They seem to have one week of fever, a few days of dry cough and then sometimes breathlessness on day 8 or 9.
“ Most people are fine to stay at home and recover in about 10 days. If it is going to be bad it is around day 9 or 10 and the breathlessness gets rapidly worse at that point.
“ We have had five patients who needed ITU but they all have heart or lung disease, and are quite elderly. Thankfully children seem to be invincible.
“ I’ve never known anything like this – but we’re planning for huge numbers of people needing intensive care and working out how to cope.
“ We’ve managed to segregate our whole hospital into unknown (in single rooms), positive and negative areas. We’ve moved a whole intensive care unit and 4 other wards in 3 days flat – this sort of change usually takes at least 6 months to get agreed!
“ I think we need to worry about our elderly relatives but not our age group or our kids. It seems pretty clear that a large proportion of the UK will get this, hopefully spread out over months rather than all at once like Italy.
“ Once enough people have had it then herd immunity will mean it dies out. So if the frail elderly can hibernate for a few months hopefully we can keep mortality down.”
Dr Rachel Tennant
Consultant in Respiratory & Acute Medicine
Clinical Director for Acute Medicine.
Northwick Park Hospital, London