Καραμελίτσα έγραψε: 23 Σεπ 2022, 10:13
stavmanr έγραψε: 23 Σεπ 2022, 10:10
Την άποψή σου θέλω. Όχι της DW. Η DW δεν λέει αυτά που νομίζεις ότι λέει.
Με λίγα λόγια, ή αν θέλεις και με πολλά: γιατί ανέβηκε το αέριο στην Ευρώπη 20 φορές μέσα σε 1,5, πριν ακριβώς από την εισβολή της Ρωσίας στην Ουκρανία;
Η DW λέει ακριβώς αυτό που καταλαβαίνω, αλλά βλέπω οτι δεν έχεις διάθεση να ασχοληθείς με τα αίτια πέρα από το να παπαγαλίσεις προπαγάνδα.
Φυσικά και δεν καταλαβαίνεις γρι.
Αυτό που ανεβάζει τις τιμές του αερίου είναι η μείωση του λόγου προσφοράς/ζήτησης.
Δηλαδή, αν κάποιος προσφέρει λίγο λιγότερο από αυτό που πρόσφερε και η ζήτηση παραμένει ίδια, η τιμή ανεβαίνει.
Αν πάλι η ζήτηση είναι λίγο μεγαλύτερη ενώ η προσφορά παραμένει ίδια, η τιμή ανεβαίνει.
Φυσικά, δεν 20πλασιάστηκε η ζήτηση της Ευρώπης μέσα σε 1,5 χρόνο!
Μπορείς να φανταστείς τι συνέβη;
Επειδή και πάλι θα κάνεις ότι δεν καταλαβαίνεις θα σου το γράψω εγώ, μέσα από την ανάλυση της χειραγώγησης τιμών της Gasprom. Ξέρεις, αυτής της "ιδιωτικής" εταιρίας που χορεύει στο ρυθμό του Πούτιν.
There’s growing evidence that Gazprom was, in fact, involved in deliberate withholding of significant volumes of gas from the European market, despite the fact that there were plentiful supplies of natural gas in Russia, ready to significantly reduce pressure on European consumers. Currently, some Martens Centre colleagues and I are working on a more detailed report on these facts, which will be published in the Spring 2022 issue of the European View – but here are some highlights.
First, Gazprom had surprisingly reduced gas supplies to Europe in 2021. According to Gazprom’s own data, it had supplied only 185.1 billion cubic meters (bcm) of gas to the so-called “far abroad” (i.e., countries beyond the former Soviet space), which is notably lower than the annual exports of 2017-2019, and only 3.2% or 5.8 bcm higher than in COVID-struck 2020. But this growth of exports was mostly enjoyed by two countries; China and Turkey. Supplies to Turkey surged in 2021 by 63%, or 10.3 bcm. Full figures of yearly gas supplies to China in 2021 are not known, but based on the 10-month gas exports figure of 8 bcm, the total annual gas supply from Russia to China will likely be around 10 bcm in 2021 – up from 4.1 bcm in 2020.
Second, the decline of gas supplies to Europe in the second half of 2021 is actually supported by day-to-day EU gas supply statistics provided by Gazprom on its website. According to this data, Gazprom had reduced supplies to the EU in September-December 2021 alone by 13.6 bcm, and gas supplies running via the Ukrainian gas transit network and via the Yamal-Europe gas pipeline running through Belarus and Poland were reduced by 58% and 51% respectively during that period.
Third, Gazprom has significant excess upstream gas production capacity. During a speech in September, Gazprom’s CEO Alexey Miller admitted the existence of excess production capacities in the amount of “150 bcm of gas”. Mr. Miller further explained that Gazprom’s gas output in 2021 was the “best figure in the last 13 years”.
Fourth, Gazprom also reported a record-breaking injection of gas into Russia-based storage facilities for the 2021-2022 winter season – around 73 bcm. That’s a 13 bcm increase, or nearly 22%, compared to the level of 2020-2021. If these 13 bcm had been to Europe instead, they would have significantly eased the pressure on the European gas market, reducing the late-December European underground gas storage deficit (which was around 20 bcm) by two-thirds.
If the 16 additional bcm of Chinese and Turkish supply are subtracted from the total 2021 statistics, we find that the remainder of the co-salled “far abroad” – which essentially means the European Union – received 10 bcm of Russian gas less in 2021 than in 2020, for a total of 169.1 bcm.
Καθ' όλο το 2020 και 2021, η ρωσική Gasprom παρήγαγε συνθήκες τεχνητής έλλειψης στην Ευρώπη. Όχι μαζικά. Ανά διαστήματα. Λίγη έλλειψη τώρα, λίγη έλλειψη αργότερα. Οι τιμές διαρκώς ανέβαιναν εξαιτίας της ανασφάλειας της αγοράς.
Κατάλαβες τώρα πως παίχτηκε το παιχνίδι της εισβολής;
Κατάλαβες πως ο Πούτιν έκανε το γάλα του παιδιού σου βλήματα για την Ουκρανία;
